Anthony, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

719
FXUS64 KEPZ 292336
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
536 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 527 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2026

 - Near Critical fire weather conditions across Southwest New
   Mexico today and Tuesday. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with
   very dry air will increase risk of wildfires.

 - Isolated showers and thunderstorms mainly southeast of El Paso
   this evening. Storm chances will be limited to areas east of
   the US-54 corridor through the week.

 - Temperatures will be typical of early July, with lowland highs
   in the upper 90s to 100 degrees.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Upper low over the Northern Rockies shows a jet streak ejecting
over the Dakotas, which was our wind-maker last weekend. A
secondary wave currently over the Sierra Madres in CA will cross
the Four Corners on Tuesday. Strong high pressure has begun to
develop over the Mississippi/Ohio river valleys, which will be the
prevailing weather pattern through at least this Friday.

Overall, breezy southwest flow will continue across Southern New
Mexico and Far West Texas next few days, keeping much of SW NM
dry. Lee surface low formation will be over central CO today and
Tuesday, with a surface trough extending south across the western
half of NM. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph can be expected, with a
few gusts up to 35 mph each afternoon. This has caused a drying
trend for Southwest New Mexico, with no rain chances through the
week ahead.

More favorable moisture exists further east across West Texas and
the Eastern New Mexico Plains, due to southerly flow aloft
pulling a plume of moisture up out of northern Mexico.
Precipitable water values 1.0-1.2" and surface dewpoints in the
upper 40s/lower 50s will be enough for some isolated (20-30%
coverage) showers and thunderstorms each afternoon. Locally, this
will affect areas southeast of El Paso only such as Hudspeth
County. Sacramento Mountains in Otero County could also see a few
showers late this week. Storms are not expected be severe, but
could produce gusty winds and blowing dust. Afternoon temperatures
will be typical of late June, with lowland highs in the upper 90s
to 100 degrees.

Overall, looks like a warm and dry week for the majority of the
forecast area, with moisture limited just too far east. Decent
chance El Paso and Las Cruces stay dry through the Independence
Day holiday, with temperatures warming back toward the 100-104
range again by the latter half of this week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 527 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Outflow boundaries are approaching KELP from the south to begin
the period, appearing weaker than yesterday. Gusts to 25kts are
possible from the S for KELP from the outflows and with some
BLDU, but confidence is low in VIS reductions. -SHRA persist SE of
KELP into tonight, staying away from the terminals. Gusts to
20-25kts this evening from SW, subsiding to AOB 10kts overnight.
Occasional gusts to 20kts tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1200 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Critical fire weather conditions for Gila National Forest on
Tuesday with southwest winds 15 to 25 mph and Min RH 12 to 18%
causing a few hours of Red Flag criteria. Fuel moisture is
currently at climatological peak dryness and ongoing drought
across western New Mexico has ERCs at the 90th percentile.
Wildfire growth will be possible next few days, evident with the
Sacaton Fire being visible on satellite.

Near Critical fire weather conditions will continue across
Southwest New Mexico through the rest of the week, with little to
no rain chances. Winds decrease slightly Wednesday/Thursday,
though further drying this week will lead to single-digit RH
across Gila NF. More favorable moisture will exist further east
across West Texas and Eastern New Mexico, where isolated showers
and thunderstorms will be possible for Lincoln National Forest
Thursday into next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  75  96  73  97 /  10  10  10   0
Sierra Blanca            66  90  64  91 /  30  30  30  20
Las Cruces               69  94  67  95 /   0  10  10   0
Alamogordo               70  95  68  96 /   0  10  10   0
Cloudcroft               53  72  51  73 /   0  20  10  10
Truth or Consequences    69  95  67  95 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              62  88  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   67  97  65  98 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                66  94  64  95 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       75  95  73  96 /  10  10  10   0
Dell City                69  95  66  95 /  10  20  20  10
Fort Hancock             72  96  70  97 /  30  30  40  10
Loma Linda               68  88  66  90 /  10  10  10   0
Fabens                   72  97  70  98 /  20  10  20   0
Santa Teresa             72  94  70  95 /  10  10  10   0
White Sands HQ           76  95  73  96 /   0  10  10   0
Jornada Range            69  95  67  95 /   0  10  10   0
Hatch                    70  98  67  98 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 73  98  72  98 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                69  93  67  94 /  10  10  20   0
Mayhill                  58  83  55  84 /   0  30  10  10
Mescalero                56  83  54  84 /   0  20  10  10
Timberon                 53  80  51  81 /  10  20  20  10
Winston                  58  87  56  87 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                66  93  64  93 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                65  94  63  95 /   0  10   0   0
Lake Roberts             56  88  54  88 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   63  91  60  91 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    63  94  59  94 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               60  89  57  89 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  64  90  62  91 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   66  94  64  95 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  66  94  64  95 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           67  94  65  95 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               63  88  61  89 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ.

&&

$$

FORECASTER...39-Aronson